Raw returns are misleading without context. Risk-adjusted ratios level the playing field:
| Ratio | Formula | Risk measure |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe | (Rp−Rf)/σ | Total volatility |
| Sortino | (Rp−Rf)/σdown | Downside deviation |
| Calmar | CAGR / Max DD | Max drawdown |
| Treynor | (Rp−Rf)/β | Market beta |
| Information | α / TE | Tracking error |
Sharpe > 1 is good, > 2 is excellent, > 3 is suspicious (likely overfitting or illiquidity premium). Sortino is preferred for asymmetric return distributions since it penalizes only downside.
Twelve monthly returns and a 3% risk-free rate. The Sharpe ratio is 0.78; the Sortino ratio, which only counts downside, is 1.31, because most of the volatility here was upside. The maximum drawdown was only 2.5%, so the Calmar ratio is 3.1. Three ratios, three impressions, from the same twelve numbers.
- Sharpe ratios from short samples are very noisy, and monthly returns that are autocorrelated (smoothed, illiquid assets) inflate them (Lo 2002).
- Trying many strategies and reporting the best inflates the Sharpe ratio; the deflated Sharpe ratio corrects for that (Bailey & López de Prado 2014).
- Calmar is normally measured over 36 months; one year’s drawdown is too short to say much.
r = np.array([2.1, -1.0, 3.2, 0.5, -2.5, 1.8, 0.9, -0.4, 2.6, -1.6, 1.4, 0.7]) / 100 # 12 months, made up rf = 0.03 / 12 ex = r - rf sharpe = ex.mean() / ex.std(ddof=1) * np.sqrt(12) downside = np.sqrt((np.minimum(ex, 0) ** 2).mean()) * np.sqrt(12) sortino = ex.mean() * 12 / downside wealth = np.cumprod(1 + r) mdd = (1 - wealth / np.maximum.accumulate(wealth)).max() calmar = (wealth[-1] - 1) / mdd # one year, so the total return is the annual one
Assumes import numpy as np and import pandas as pd. Each snippet carries its own example numbers; the comments say which are made up or simulated.
- W. F. Sharpe, “Mutual Fund Performance”, Journal of Business 39(1), 1966
- W. F. Sharpe, “The Sharpe Ratio”, Journal of Portfolio Management 21(1), 1994
- F. A. Sortino & L. N. Price, “Performance Measurement in a Downside Risk Framework”, Journal of Investing 3(3), 1994
- A. W. Lo, “The Statistics of Sharpe Ratios”, Financial Analysts Journal 58(4), 2002
- D. H. Bailey & M. López de Prado, “The Deflated Sharpe Ratio: Correcting for Selection Bias, Backtest Overfitting, and Non-Normality”, Journal of Portfolio Management 40(5), 2014
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